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Analysis

THE SO-CALLED AMNESTY OFFERED BY THE KATSINA STATE GOVERNMENT TO BANDITS AND TERRORISTS WILL FAIL BECAUSE IT IS AGAINST THE TENETS OF ISLAM.

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Your Excellency, BLOOD ON YOUR HANDS.

Friday Lines (79) With

Dr Abubakar Alkali

19/9/25

Bandits and terrorists DO NOT deserve AMNESTY. They should be crushed the way they crush innocent farmers and other citizens.

‘Any President, state governor or public office holder for that matter who grants any form of AMNESTY or negotiates or gives any form of soft landing to killer-bandits and terrorists who kill innocent people has BLOOD ON HIS HANDS which he will carry to his GRAVE and explain to his CREATOR’

Qur’an Baqarah 2:178
يَـٰٓأَيُّهَا ٱلَّذِينَ ءَامَنُوا۟ كُتِبَ عَلَيْكُمُ ٱلْقِصَاصُ فِى ٱلْقَتْلَى ۖ ٱلْحُرُّ بِٱلْحُرِّ وَٱلْعَبْدُ بِٱلْعَبْدِ وَٱلْأُنثَىٰ بِٱلْأُنثَىٰ ۚ فَمَنْ عُفِىَ لَهُۥ مِنْ أَخِيهِ شَىْءٌۭ فَٱتِّبَاعٌۢ بِٱلْمَعْرُوفِ وَأَدَآءٌ إِلَيْهِ بِإِحْسَـٰنٍۢ ۗ ذَٰلِكَ تَخْفِيفٌۭ مِّن رَّبِّكُمْ وَرَحْمَةٌۭ ۗ فَمَنِ ٱعْتَدَىٰ بَعْدَ ذَٰلِكَ فَلَهُۥ عَذَابٌ أَلِيمٌۭ ١٧٨

‘*_O believers! ˹The law of˺ retaliation is set for you in cases of murder—a free man for a free man, a slave for a slave, and a female for a female. But if the offender is pardoned by the victim’s guardian, then blood-money should be decided fairly and payment should be made courteously. This is a concession and a mercy from your Lord. But whoever transgresses after that will suffer a painful punishment’_*

THE ISLAMIC LAW OF QISAS (Whoever kills should be killed).
No amnesty for killer-bandits and terrorists by the state or federal governments will succeed because Allah (SWT) says in the holy Quran in Surah Baqarah Verse 178 that anybody who kills intentionally should be killed under the law of Qisas or retributive justice.
Why should state governors pardon bandits and terrorists who kill the innocent? Where do these governors derive such powers?

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In Islam under the law of Qisas, only the family of the victim can pardon the killer and even in such cases, the killer must pay blood-money (Diyya).

A state governor has no powers to pardon bandits who kill innocent people. In Islam, only the family of the victim can pardon the killer. 

The question to ask Northern Governors who grant amnesty to bandits and terrorists is ‘What about the innocent people killed by these bandits and terrorists? What about those raped and displaced by these bandits? Don’t these innocent victims deserve justice?

How could a killer bandit be entitled to justice while his victim is not entitled to any justice?

The government has failed to protect its citizens as enshrined in section 14(2)(b) of the constitution, Federal Republic of Nigeria.

During elections, a Governor goes to campaign and solicits for votes from a particular community. When he gets to office he pardons the bandits that have killed the same people who gave him their votes and voted him into office. This is incomprehensible!

_What is Amnesty_?
‘Amnesty for bandits and terrorists is a model of corruption designed by politicians who are working in cahoots with bandits and terrorists for the 2027 election on a quid pro quo basis’

Yes, write it down, politicians in Katsina and other states which entered into a so-called ‘peace deal’ such as Kaduna will use the bandits and terrorists to rig the 2027 elections in their respective states.

_Bandits, Where are your AK-47s after Amnesty?_
It is preposterous that a bandit will walk home with all his deadly weapons after a so-called ‘peace meeting’ during which he claimed to have renounced kidnapping, terrorism and violence. If indeed the bandits are serious about renouncing violence, they should surrender all their weapons and these weapons should be set ablaze in public.

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Amnesty will only embolden the bandits and give them time to re-strategise. Government pays money to bandits after each so-called ‘peace deal’ which the bandits use to buy more weapons.

__The Katsina state government cannot select Fulani settlements and build schools for them while other communities in the state lack such facilities __
The Katsina state government will be playing into the hands of the Fulani bandits if they selectively build any schools or hospitals for them. Building schools and hospitals or roads will NEVER stop the scourge of kidnapping and banditry.
When will the Katsina state government build schools for Hausa communities in Jibia and Faskari localities? Is it after these communities have also procured weapons and kidnap innocent victims akin to what the Fulani are doing?

_A Lie from the Pit of Hell_
It is a big lie and an untenable reason that the Fulani bandits are into terrorism because they have been neglected by the government and that they are killing innocent people because they don’t have schools and hospitals. This is a lie from the pit of hell.
The question to ask here is ‘How many communities in Katsina, Zamfara and other states have been neglected by the government? Thousands of communities in Katsina state have no schools or hospitals.

On 19th August 2025 at Gidan Mantau, Malumfashi local government area Katsina state, bandits set ablaze over 50 worshipers and burned them alive. The Gidan Mantau community has no road or school or hospital but they didn’t take up arms and start kidnapping and killing people.
Have other neglected communities resorted to acquiring weapons, kidnapping and killing innocent people? NO.
Why didn’t everybody who was neglected by the government resort to kidnapping as the Fulani have done?

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_The Solution
The only solution is FULL MILITARY FORCE to crush these bandits and terrorists. That’s the ONLY option.
Only a GROUND WAR (FACE-TO-FACE combat) can crush the bandits once-and-for-all.

The Nigerian military should use the same strategy it deployed to defeat the Biafra secessionists during the civil war 1967-1970 to crush the bandits. The earlier the better before the bandits overwhelm the Southern part of Nigeria particularly Lagos state where there are better potentials for mega ransom payments.
The bandits have started ‘the domination of Southern Nigeria’ project with Kwara State (the gateway state between the North and South) where they are now in control of several communities.

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Analysis

Ozoro Festival Scandal Sparks National Debate on ‘Weaponised Traditions’ and Cultural Reform

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The controversy surrounding the Ozoro Festival in Delta State has ignited a nationwide debate over harmful cultural practices, following viral videos showing acts of sexual violence and widespread outrage across Nigeria.

The scandal has led to the arrest of six suspects by the police, including a community leader, but many Nigerians argue that the response falls short of justice and fails to address deeper cultural issues.

Critics have described the Ozoro Alue-Do Festival as a “weaponised tradition,” accusing it of reinforcing misogyny and enabling abuse under the guise of cultural celebration. Some members of the Isoko community, however, insist the issue is being misrepresented.

A female indigene, who spoke anonymously, condemned what she described as systemic discrimination against women within the culture, alleging that harmful practices are often excused and victims silenced.

“Women are blamed even in cases of abuse, while perpetrators are shielded,” she said, pointing to long-standing traditions that, in her view, enable injustice.

But cultural analyst Anote Ajelouruo cautioned against sweeping generalisations, arguing that the festival’s origins must be understood within historical context.

He noted that fertility rites were common in many ancient societies and said isolated incidents of misconduct should not define an entire cultural heritage.

“Every society had practices shaped by limited knowledge at the time. What matters is ensuring such traditions are not hijacked or abused,” he said.

Lessons from Ibadan

Observers say reform is possible, pointing to the transformation of the Oke’Badan Festival in Ibadan, which has evolved from a chaotic and unsafe event into a structured cultural celebration.

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Journalist and historian Temilade Adeyemi recalled that the festival was once notorious for harassment of women, with vulgar displays and public misconduct.

Today, however, it is widely regarded as a symbol of cultural pride, featuring organised performances and safer participation for women.

Path to Reform

Experts say any attempt to reform the Ozoro Festival must be driven by the community, with traditional leaders playing a central role in redefining its purpose.

They also stress the importance of accountability, urging authorities to ensure that those arrested are prosecuted to rebuild public trust.

Increased participation of women in planning and decision-making is seen as critical to reshaping the festival into a safer and more inclusive event.

Analysts further recommend sustained public education and media engagement to highlight positive cultural values while discouraging harmful practices.

Uncertain Future

Despite the outrage, questions remain over whether meaningful reform will take place or if the festival will continue to attract criticism.

For now, attention remains on both community leaders and law enforcement authorities, as Nigerians watch closely to see whether the incident will mark a turning point or another missed opportunity for change.

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Analysis

Impending Global Extreme Weather Conditions: How Prepared Is Nigeria

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By AVM Rtd Akugbe Iyamu MNSA fsi

Extreme weather conditions are unexpected, unusual or severe weather events that fall outside normal patterns, often causing significant disruption, damage to infrastructure, and environmental destruction.

Examples include heatwaves, intense hurricanes, flooding, severe droughts, and tornadoes. These events are becoming more frequent due to climate change.

Nigeria is a country perpetually under elections frenzy: campaigning, off cycle and other electoral activities. These political manifestations always offered little attention to key areas of the environment that threatens economic growth and development, security and poverty, inequality and hunger. As of early 2026, Nigeria hosts over 3.7 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) driven from their homes by conflict, insecurity, and climate disasters. The vast majority of this displacement is concentrated in the North-East and North-West regions, with around 3,900 camps and host communities providing temporary shelter. Currently, Africa is experiencing intensified extreme weather events driven by climate change, primarily manifested as severe droughts, devastating floods, and extreme heatwaves. These events, such as the 2020-2023 Horn of Africa drought and 2024 regional flooding, are becoming more frequent, severely impacting food security, agriculture, and infrastructure.

For instance the death situation in Kenya has risen to 66 and Ethiopia 125 deaths with 11,000 displaced. This is a clear and present danger to Africa and is likely to stretch the existing response measures. At this point NIHSA, NiMet and other agencies need to be called out to show visible signs to the 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction. At this point, the country need more emphasis in advising all stakeholders to shift from reactive to proactive climate-informed planning to ensure food security and protect infrastructure. Nigeria need to step up preparation against what we see coming as extreme weather in 2026. From the situations in Ethiopia and Kenya, it is obvious that 2026 will be characterized by variable rainfall and cyclone bomb. We have seen prolonged dry spells, and higher-than-average temperatures early in the year that have threatened the health and security of Nigerians. Based on the 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) unveiled by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) on February 10, 2026, the country need to do more. Judging from the heavy snow in the northern hemisphere, nigeria need key preparations that include using AI for better forecasting, tailored agricultural advice, and flood warning systems.

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2026 should not be treated like other years. With insecurity, poverty, inequality, high taxation, higher borrowings and higher energy costs, negligence will unravel the economy and underbelly of Nigeria energy security system. Time to act is now because there are too many negatives conflating the country and we have to solve the issues of environmental challenges because when you lack the structure, you attract rupture.

The Federal Government, through the National Orientation Agency (NOA) should be promoting the dissemination of the SCP to local farmers to ensure it directly informs field decisions.

 

AVM RTD AKUGBE IYAMU MNSA fsi

CONSULTANT ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND ANALYST ON ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES

PRESIDENT ASSOCIATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND CLIMATE CHANGE PRACTITIONERS

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Analysis

FFK Raises Fresh Questions Over El-Rufai’s Actions, Security Allegations

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FFK Raises Fresh Questions Over El-Rufai’s Actions, Security Allegations

Former Minister of Aviation, Femi Fani-Kayode, has again raised concerns about the actions and statements of former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, describing some of them as matters that require clarification in the interest of national security.

In a lengthy statement titled “More Questions for Nasir El-Rufai,” Fani-Kayode said he was still awaiting answers to several issues he had previously raised regarding El-Rufai’s conduct while serving in public office.

He also expressed sympathy after reports that El-Rufai allegedly suffered a nosebleed while in detention, noting that he hoped the former governor would soon respond directly to the questions raised.

Fani-Kayode accused the former governor of carrying out several demolition exercises during his tenure as Minister of the Federal Capital Territory and later as governor of Kaduna State, claiming that the actions affected residential buildings, communities and facilities, including some used by vulnerable groups.

He further alleged that some of the demolitions occurred close to the end of El-Rufai’s tenure in May 2023, including operations reportedly conducted by the Kaduna State Urban Planning and Development Authority in areas such as Gbagyi Villa and other communities.

According to him, critics had described the demolitions as vindictive, while affected residents alleged that some structures were removed despite legal disputes over the properties.

The former aviation minister also raised issues relating to policies implemented during El-Rufai’s administration in Kaduna State, including restrictions on certain religious activities and the suspension of state-sponsored pilgrimages at the time.

Fani-Kayode additionally referenced tensions between El-Rufai and some political figures, including Kaduna State Governor Uba Sani, claiming the relationship deteriorated after the former governor left office.

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Beyond the political issues, the statement also touched on security-related concerns, particularly allegations surrounding the bugging of phones and claims involving the possible importation of a toxic substance.

Fani-Kayode said such matters, if true, could pose serious national security implications and called for relevant security agencies to investigate thoroughly.

He expressed confidence that institutions such as the Department of State Services, the Nigerian Police Force, and other intelligence bodies would look into the allegations and determine the facts.

Fani-Kayode maintained that his remarks were intended to raise questions and encourage transparency, emphasizing the need for clarity on issues that could affect national stability and public confidence.

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